Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 5.621803 6.154227 6.754804 7.491639 8.384683 9.450740 10.850303
2025-01-05 4.856425 5.533655 6.358202 7.466937 8.973383 11.045534 14.325622
2025-01-12 4.219695 4.933350 5.847278 7.158305 9.102139 12.117257 17.853169
2025-01-19 3.731583 4.440217 5.380373 6.794427 9.038381 12.892303 21.666875
2025-01-26 3.575577 4.353099 5.434173 7.170621 10.217756 16.403274 36.645500
2025-02-02 3.554583 4.440478 5.740774 8.004222 12.548579 24.552307 123.967236
2025-02-09 3.437781 4.372675 5.799188 8.438335 14.365410 34.841122 NaN
2025-02-16 3.306783 4.266078 5.776028 8.715626 16.024284 50.215077 NaN
2025-02-23 3.164674 4.126246 5.675897 8.816169 17.324080 72.520372 NaN
2025-03-02 2.963445 3.876756 5.359666 8.403884 16.894389 79.788815 NaN
2025-03-09 2.830513 3.725134 5.197495 8.292934 17.415207 108.444682 NaN
2025-03-16 2.671511 3.521333 4.924889 7.894202 16.775828 114.154965 NaN
2025-03-23 2.570883 3.418904 4.848133 7.984670 18.256518 271.460971 NaN
2025-03-30 2.464234 3.300539 4.733390 7.975441 19.484763 2305.619316 NaN
2025-04-06 2.328469 3.125905 4.499494 7.639015 19.098669 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.197153 2.951587 4.253121 7.236720 18.217058 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.169938 2.948708 4.328854 7.661963 21.983103 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.188711 3.024582 4.566462 8.607369 31.763495 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.160106 3.015607 4.633225 9.104282 41.341298 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.118378 2.979941 4.639794 9.423195 52.180673 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.065579 2.920610 4.588982 9.539346 62.279469 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.978871 2.794998 4.383198 9.066542 57.034395 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.920134 2.717926 4.278853 8.939813 60.702086 NaN NaN